• The GDP data is normally declared exactly 2 months after the end of the quarter. So the fourth quarter GDP for the period ending March 2019 and also for the full year will be announced on 31st of May.
  • Most experts including the Central Statistical Organization have estimated the fourth quarter GDP to sharply lower due to weak economic activity ahead of the elections. 
  • The fourth quarter GDP is likely to be in the range of 5.9% to 6.1% with the full year GDP coming in lower at around 7%. 
  • The liquidity crunch post October in the financial markets is also supposed to have put some pressure on the GDP growth in the March quarter.