Estimates vary but most economists concur that the decision to put the country under total lockdown could pull down growth by 200-300 basis points. Although essential services will be allowed to continue, this will result in a sudden stop across most businesses and impact non-government GDP growth. Economists at J P Morgan expect that about 60% of GDP (outside of agriculture, public administration, health, telecommunications, etc.) will be significantly hit by the shutdown. Barclays expects the cost of the shutdown to be $120 billion or 4% of GDP. Sectors like metals, autos and capital goods could be the worst hit by this decision.